UNC Basketball: Breaking Down the ACC Race

Mar 12, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels head coach Roy Williams celebrates by cutting down the net after the Tar Heels' game against the Virginia Cavaliers in the championship game of the ACC conference tournament at Verizon Center. The Tar Heels won 61-57. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports /

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Jan 24, 2017; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Louisville Cardinals forward Deng Adel (22) is fouled as he shoots against Pittsburgh Panthers forward Sheldon Jeter (21) during the second half at the Petersen Events Center. The Cardinals won 106-51. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports /

Louisville (5-3 ACC)

Despite having an up and down season, Louisville has avoided the catastrophic upset this year.

The Cardinals worst loss is against a ranked Notre Dame team, on the road. And despite being two games out of first place, they have to feel they are in a good spot right now.

If you take away UNC and Virginia from their schedule, Louisville’s toughest opponent left is Notre Dame at home. If you offered 13-5 to the Cardinals at the beginning of the season, I am sure they would have taken it.

Louisville has shown they can hang with any team in the conference. And the regular season title could very well come down to their game against UNC, which is in Chapel Hill.

They have missed Quentin Snider in the last few games, but have stayed afloat without him. Once they get him back, they should be primed for a run at UNC down the homestretch.

I will give Louisville a 15% chance to win the ACC title.

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