Keeping It Heel
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UNC Basketball: Breaking Down the ACC Race

By Bryson Gordon

Mar 12, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels head coach Roy Williams celebrates by cutting down the net after the Tar Heels' game against the Virginia Cavaliers in the championship game of the ACC conference tournament at Verizon Center. The Tar Heels won 61-57. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 12, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels head coach Roy Williams celebrates by cutting down the net after the Tar Heels' game against the Virginia Cavaliers in the championship game of the ACC conference tournament at Verizon Center. The Tar Heels won 61-57. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports /
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Jan 25, 2017; Atlanta, GA, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Leonard Hamilton (left) talks with guard Terance Mann (14) in the second half of their game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at McCamish Pavilion. The Yellow Jackets won 78-56. Mandatory Credit: Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 25, 2017; Atlanta, GA, USA; Florida State Seminoles head coach Leonard Hamilton (left) talks with guard Terance Mann (14) in the second half of their game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at McCamish Pavilion. The Yellow Jackets won 78-56. Mandatory Credit: Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports /

Florida State (6-2 ACC)

Florida State burst onto the scene following their big win at Virginia. FSU began the season 18-1, but have lost two of their last four. Both were road games at UNC and at Georgia Tech.

The loss to Carolina could be a crushing blow to them late in ACC play. Because of that, UNC now owns the head-to-head against FSU for seeding in the ACC Tournament.

Florida State should have a great shot at winning the ACC, because their favorable schedule.

FSU has only two more games against KenPom top 25 teams, Notre Dame, and Duke. The Noles have already ran through their ACC gauntlet. They have already faced off against UNC, Duke, Virginia, Louisville, and Notre Dame.

But while their schedule may seem favorable, they have shown themselves that no game is easy.

On Wednesday, FSU went to Georgia Tech and lost by 22! No matter who they play, if the game is on the road, FSU will have to bring it every time.

Led by Jonathan Isaac, this is Leonard Hamilton’s best FSU team in a while. It is not a stretch to think this team could be a Final Four team.

Given their favorable schedule, I would give them a 20% chance to win the ACC.

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