NC State vs. UNC Prediction, Odds, and Key Players for Saturday, March 2

Feb 26, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Elliot Cadeau (2)
Feb 26, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Elliot Cadeau (2) / Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

UNC enters Saturday's college basketball action holding a one game lead on Duke, which makes today's game against NC State a big one as they try to lock up the top seed in the upcoming conference tournament.

The Tar Heels took care of business against NC State earlier this season, beating them on the road by a final score of 67-54 back on January 10. Can they find a similar result at home in the rema

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NC State odds, spread, and total

NC State vs. UNC betting trends

  • The OVER is 5-0 in NC State's last five games
  • UNC is 5-1 straight up and ATS in its last six games vs. NC State
  • NC State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games played in March
  • UNC is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games
  • The UNDER is 11-5 in UNC's last 16 games
  • UNC is 12-1 straight up in its last 13 home games
  • UNC is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games vs. NC State

NC State vs. UNC how to watch

  • Date: Saturday, March 2
  • Game time: 4:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Dean E. Smith Center
  • How to watch (TV): ESPN
  • NC State record: 17-11 (9-8 in ACC)
  • UNC record: 22-6 (14-3 in ACC)

NC State vs. UNC key players to watch

NC State

DJ Horne: The guard for the Wolfpack is the biggest playmaker on the team, averaging 17.5 points per game along with 3.3 rebounds, 2.3 assists, and 1.4 steals. He went just 2-of-16 from the field in the first meeting between these two teams so if NC State wants any hope of success this time around, they need Horne to step up in a big way.


RJ Davis: Not only is RJ Davis the Tar Heels' leading scorer, averaging 21.7 points per game, but he was the game's leading scorer in the first game between these two teams, scoring 16 points. If he can have a similar performance today, UNC is going to be tough to beat.

NC State vs. UNC prediction and pick

NC State has struggled on the road this season and I expect those struggles to continue today. The Wolfpack's average scoring margin drops from +10.1 at home down to -3.8 on the road. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels have an average scoring margin of +17.0 at home.

UNC has able to completely shut down the Woldpack in their previous meeting and if we see a similar story today, the Tar Heels are going to run away with this game. I won't hesitate to lay the 10.5 points with UNC.

Pick: UNC -10.5

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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