Miami vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds and Key Players for Monday, Feb. 26 (Bet over or under?)

College basketball betting preview, prediction and best bets for Miami vs. North Carolina on Monday, Feb. 26 using FanDuel Sportsbook.

Feb 24, 2024; Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) looks to
Feb 24, 2024; Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) looks to / Hannah Pajewski-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

North Carolina stamped its claim as the top team in the ACC, and now will look to continue to flex its muscles back at home in Chapel Hill against Miami, who is circling the drain on a dismal season.

The Tar Heels and Hurricanes meet for the second time this season after UNC escaped with a 75-72 win on the road. Since then, Miami has lost every game its played in while the Tar Heels have continued to navigate their path for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Can UNC keep it rolling following a big win at Virginia over the weekend? Let's break it down with our full betting preview with odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

If you sign up for FanDuel using the link below, you will get $150 in bonus bets if you win your first bet of just $5! Get started below!

Miami vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread and Total

North Carolina vs. Miami Betting Trends

  • North Carolina is 16-11 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • North Carolina has gone OVER in seven of 12 games this season
  • North Carolina has gone UNDER in six of the last 10 games
  • Miami has gone UNDER In seven of the last 10 games

Miami vs. North Carolina How to Watch

  • Date: Monday, Feb. 26
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Dean Smith Center
  • How to Watch (TV): ESPN
  • Miami Record: 15-13
  • North Carolina Record: 21-6

Miami vs. North Carolina Key Players to Watch

Miami

Wooga Poplar: Poplar is the marksman of the Miami offense, shooting 41% from 3 on the year, but that number has dropped to 34% in ACC play. North Carolina is vulnerable from beyond the arc, allowing a ton of wide open 3s, but can the Hurricanes take advantage? Poplar's impact will be immense on this game after making only one of his six 3s in the first meeting between both teams.

North Carolina

Armando Bacot: Bacot imposed his will on an elite Virginia defense on Saturday, scoring 10 points while grabbing 13 rebounds in the team's rock fight victory. The big man had a similar showing against Miami a few weeks ago, scoring 10 points while grabbing 15 rebounds (he fouled out) and will look to overpower a sliding defense yet again.

Miami vs. North Carolina Prediction and Pick

In the first meeting on February 10th, North Carolina escaped with a 75-72 win, going under the total of 162 points. While the total has dropped quite a bit, I believe there's good reason for it and I'll go under yet again.

Miami's defense isn't strong by any means, but it does shut off the interior for opponents. The Hurricanes compact defense forces opponents to shoot three's on more than 45% of its field goal attempts, which is inside the top 20 in the country.

North Carolina's potent offense is due in part to its ability to rebound its misses at the highest rate in the ACC and get to the free-throw line. The team is shooting only 33% from 3 in league games.

North Carolina's defense is likely due to take a step back in terms of its perimeter defense at some point, opponents are shooting 28% from beyond the arc in ACC play, but I'm not sure if Miami has the ability to take advantage on the road.

The Hurricanes are shooting just 34% from beyond the arc on the road, 119th in the country according to Bart Torvik.

UNC's ability to clean the glass and shut down a sputtering Miami defense, who may or may not have Nijel Pack back, make me confident that the defense can have a big outing on Monday night. However, instead of trusting the Heels to cover the double digit spread on a quick turnaround, I'll opt for the under.

PICK: UNDER 154.5


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Track Reed's bets here!