Best March Madness Prop Bets for Wagner vs. North Carolina in NCAA Tournament First Round

Mar 16, 2024; Washington, D.C., USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Armando Bacot (5) dribbles the
Mar 16, 2024; Washington, D.C., USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Armando Bacot (5) dribbles the / Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports

North Carolina starts its quest for a National Championship as the No. 1 seed in the West Region against No. 16 Wagner, who won its Play-In game at the First Four against Howard.

The Tar Heels have an immense size advantage against Wagner, and that can mean a big game for Armando Bacot around the rim. Should we target him in the player prop market? I got an angle to bet on Bacot and fellow forward Harrison Ingram.

Here are two player props for Tar Heels first round action, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. If you sign up now with FanDuel, you can get $200 in bonus bets when you win your first bet of just $5! All you have to do is sign up below.

Best College Basketball Player Props for Wagner vs. North Carolina

  • Armando Bacot OVER 14.5 Points
  • Harrison Ingram OVER OVER 8.5 Rebounds

Armando Bacot OVER 14.5 Points

This is going to be an uphill battle for the Seahawks, who are trotting out a seven-man rotation at this point in the season. Further, the team is 317th in average height and won't have an answer for Bacot around the rim.

I expect the senior big man to dominate around the rim, cleaning up plenty of misses and also getting to the free throw line. Wagner is 198th in two-point percentage and is at around the national average in opponent free throw rate. I expect UNC to try and get inside and use its physicality with Bacot to slow down Wagner's momentum and pull away at the charity stripe.

UNC has the edge the glass, top 80 in the country in offensive rebounding rate and free throw rate, and I'm counting on the big man to eat down low in this one.

Harrison Ingram OVER 8.5 Rebounds

Bacot gets plenty of rebounds, but so does the Stanford transfer Ingram, who was 10th in ACC offensive rebounding rate and fourth in defensive rebounding rate while playing 83% of available minutes.

In a similar vein to Bacot getting higher than normal usage against Wagner, I think Ingram can play a vital role as a rebounder for a lot of the same reasons. UNC has the edge on the glass, and while Bacot is the top rebounder, Ingram is a close second.

For what it's worth, Wagner is 273rd in three-point percentage and North Carolina is 99th in 3P%, could there be a ton of misses from the perimeter leading to a ton of available rebounds?

I think so.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.