Coming off of a two game win streak in the ACC, the North Carolina Tar Heels are listed as a 10 seed in Joe Lunardi’s latest Bracketology. Lunardi, ESPN’s resident “Bracketologist,” predicts the four number one seeds will be Arizona, Syracuse, Kansas, and Wichita State. Lunardi also predicts the ACC putting six teams into the big dance. Putting six teams in would rank the ACC tied for second in most teams per conference.
In the November 2nd edition of Bracketology, the Tar Heels were predicted to be a three seed in the West region. However, slow starts in the ACC and bad losses to Belmont and UAB slid the Heels down the Bracketology rankings. The Heels are in a good position to continue to move up in the ranks with more ACC wins against the likes of Duke (three seed in New York Region) or Pitt (six seed in Midwest region).
In Lunardi’s bracket odds, the Tar Heels have a 13.7% chance of making it to the Sweet 16, a 1.1% chance of making it to the Final Four, and a .1% chance of winning it all this April. Arizona leads all teams with over a 20% chance of winning the tournament, and a 45.7% chance of a Final Four berth. Duke ranks in the top five in all three categories, with a 6.6% chance of winning the national championship.
There is still a lot of time between now and selection Sunday, and even a strong showing in the ACC tournament would propel the Heels up in the bracket projections. But its true that the Tar Heels have to keep winning and keep strengthening their draft stock; they are definitely not locks for the Big Dance in March.
Make sure you follow Keeping It Heel on Twitter @KeepingItHeel for more updates on UNC basketball, and you can check out all of Lunardi’s bracket rankings here.